Monday, June 6, 2011

New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?

A continuing series examining the situations of New York Rangers free agents. Today we continue looking at the Rangers' restricted free agents Matt Gilroy & Michael Sauer.


Matt Gilroy, Defense

Reasons to stay – Finally seems to have earned Torts’ confidence and the 26 year-old seems to have a regular place in the team.

Reasons to leave – Rangers offer a salary cut that is too steep. Rangers demand he sign a two-way deal.

Analysis – Gilroy got 58 games (more than McDonagh and Del Zotto) with the big club this last season and this shows some confidence in his abilities. Brian McCabe was traded for and this shows that the club isn’t sure about Gilroy’s viability over the long term. Gilroy is a plus-player, very coachable, skates like the wind, and has a good shot. Two solid years with the big club stand him in good stead in his contract negotiations.

Speculation – The Rangers like Gilroy, but do they like him over the long term at $2.1M/year? Rangers re-sign Gilroy in the range of $2.1-2.5M/year. If Gilroy lacks confidence in the club it will be a one or two years deal. If Gilroy is confident of his place in the “young core” perhaps he will sign a 4-5 year deal. The organization does not truly have a prospect in waiting (or a line on a free agent defenseman in waiting) that can replace his experience and this will be an advantage in Gilroy’s contract talks.



Michael Sauer, Defense

Reasons to stay – Has finally earned a regular place in the team after years of toiling on the farm. The Rangers need his grit and willingness to stand up for teammates.

Reasons to leave – It took the Rangers a combination of a long time, and a fair amount of desperation to give Sauer a proper chance at the NHL level. Lowball contract offer. Rangers demand Sauer sign a two-way deal.

Analysis – This guy just keeps getting better, and his numbers support that. 76 games with the big club with no demotions. Sauer brings his brand of rugged and steady play to the rink each day. Led the Rangers in plus/minus with +20.

Speculation – How much of a raise are the Rangers prepared to award Sauer? I’m going to guess that less than $1.5M isn’t going to cut it (As he was making $62.5K/year for the better part of 3 years), and that suitors will be lining up for his services. If the Rangers are willing to reward Sauer for being a faithful servant of the club Sauer will re-sign. If the contract offer doesn’t reflect the significant impact he has had in the team, Sauer may elect to hold out. Sauer will likely re-sign for 2-3 years on a one-way contract of between $800K-1.2M. If better money is offered, the Rangers may be able to lock up Sauer in a 4-6 year deal. If the Rangers are only offering a two-way deal, the AHL salary had better be more than $75,000/year.


Tomorrow's segment features restricted free agents Artem Anisimov & Brian Boyle.

Friday, June 3, 2011

New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?

Today's segment is the first segment in a series examining the New York Rangers' restricted free agents. The first two RFAs we will look at are Brandon Dubinsky & Ryan Callahan.


Ryan Callahan, Right Wing

Reasons to Stay – Attachment to club and city that seem to love his combination of grit, speed, and skill. A chance to be a part of something amazing, if the Ranger management can ever properly fine tune the mix. Fans expect he will be named captain when (current captain) Chris Drury’s contract expires after the 2011-12 season.

Reasons to leave – A lowball contract offer from Sather. Does Callahan feel he is laboring in a vacuum, with not a Stanley Cup sniff in sight? A number of teams would give their eye teeth to sign Callahan to their roster.

Analysis – Callahan is a model of consistency on and off the ice. He seems to have the confidence of Sather, Torts, fans, and supporters. He is currently an alternate captain with the team. Callahan gives everything every shift, he plays in all situations skates, defends, scores, passes, hits early and often, and blocks shots - often to his own physical detriment as both his hand and his ankle were broken this year blocking shots. Callahan has demonstrated again and again that he is a vital part of what the Rangers are trying to build. Sather must re-sign this player at any reasonable cost.

Speculation – Callahan will sign a long term one-way deal of 4 to 6 years at a salary point in excess of $4M a year, a significant raise from his previous salary of $2.3M/year. The Rangers have the cap room to accommodate this, and they would be foolish to alienate him. A holdout situation would be a PR disaster for the club, and for Sather.


Brandon Dubinsky, Wing/Center

Reasons to Stay – Like Callahan, Dubinsky is enjoying robust success with the club and seems to have the confidence of both coach and GM, Seems attached to club, city, fans. He survived a holdout against the club over salary by responding with a good year.

Reasons to leave – A lowball contract offer from the club.

Analysis – The amount the Rangers are willing to spend on Dubinsky will likely determine whether or not he remains in a blue sweater. Dubinsky makes vital contributions to the Rangers by: defending, scoring goals, setting up goals, hitting, the odd scrap with unruly interlopers, power play, penalty killing. The Rangers simply can’t afford to let Dubinsky leave.

Speculation – Dubinsky re-signs with the club on a deal similar to the one that will retain the services of Ryan Callahan. A holdout situation is unthinkable from the standpoint of either club or player…Dubinsky will show his resolve by holding out if the negotiations are not carried out in good faith.

Tomorrow's segment will feature restricted free agents Matt Gilroy & Michael Sauer.

* * *

New York Rangers - Trade Update: The Rangers have acquired defenseman Tim Erixon and a 5th round 2011 draft pick, in return for center Roman Horak and both of the Rangers' 2nd round draft picks in the 2011 draft.

What Calgary Gets: Calgary gets a good prospect in Horak, and adds two high draft picks.

What New York Gets: Although Horak and the 2 second rounders would have been good to keep, Horak and the players that would have been selected in the second round have zero games of pro experience. Erixon has 140 pro matches under his belt with his Swedish club Skelleftea with the 5th round pick added to even things out a little bit.

Analysis: This trade favors New York in the short term, and Calgary in the long term.

Speculation: Adding another defenseman with pro experience means that the battle for the Rangers last starting defense spot has become even more intense. This deal will impact Matt Gilroy, Michael Del Zotto, Steve Eminger, Dylan McIlrath, Blake Parlett, and others throughout the organization's depth chart. This deal also provides cover at defense in the event that Steve Eminger leaves the club.

Thursday, June 2, 2011

New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?

Today's segment examines two of the New York Rangers unrestricted free agents. In today's case we will examine Bryan McCabe & Steve Eminger.

Bryan McCabe, Defense

Reasons to stay – I can’t think of any, and McCabe’s forgettable late season addition didn’t exactly impress the Rangers’ fans.

Reasons to leave – Can test the market as an unrestricted free agent, and probably finds a place on someone’s blue line for maybe a bit more than the Rangers are willing to offer.

Analysis – The trade that sent young Tim Kennedy to Florida for McCabe was a rental gamble that McCabe would be a steadying veteran presence on the power play. This gamble failed.

Speculation – The Rangers let the 35 year-old (36 in June) defenseman and his $5.750M contract drop off of the salary cap. McCabe walks in search of greener pastures.



Steve Eminger, Defense

Reasons to stay – Torts likes Eminger’s physicality and has given him preference for ice time – perhaps over players who are more talented and skillful.

Reasons to leave – Eminger has perhaps grown tired of being the pawn in the power struggle between Tortorella and Del Zotto.

Analysis – Athough Eminger is a more consistent player than Del Zotto, it seemed over the course of last season that when one was playing, the other was a healthy scratch. Eminger brings consistency and physical play to the Rangers' blue line. Conversely, Eminger is nearly 30, and is not the passer, shooter, nor skater that Del Zotto is. Should Eminger re-sign with the club, he continue to compete directly with Gilroy and Del Zotto for a place in the starting six defensemen. If it’s Eminger’s goal to sign a one-way contract with the Rangers, he might have to acknowledge that he may be the seventh defenseman and ride the pine pony.

Speculation – The million dollar question, literally, is: Does Eminger love playing for Torts and the Rangers enough to risk riding the pine when his betters figure out how to appease Tortzilla? If the Rangers still feel they need Eminger as cover for Del Zotto, Gilroy, and McDonagh they must re-sign him. Then, it’s a matter of price. For Eminger’s skill level and age, the Rangers won’t be prepared to pay more than the $1.125M he was making on his previous contract. So if he likes playing in New York, he’ll accept a renewal of the previous contract or a slight pay cut. If Eminger is interested in a higher salary, he might be able to find it, but not in New York. This one is too close to call.


In tomorrow's segment I will begin examining the New York Rangers' restricted free agents. The first two RFAs up will be Ryan Callahan & Brandon Dubinsky.

Wednesday, June 1, 2011

New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?

Today we examine the situations of New York Rangers unrestricted free agents Jeremy Williams & Chad Kolarik.


Jeremy Williams, Right Wing

Reasons to stay – Has enjoyed success at AHL level with Connecticut Whale. He was making about $200K/season playing AHL hockey. As real-world salaries go, that’s not too bad.

Reasons to leave – When Rangers experienced severe injury attrition during the 2010-11 NHL campaign, they did not call upon Williams to step in and help carry the load in Manhattan – Perhaps management lacks confidence in Williams? Williams has only played one game for the parent club in which he played less than 5 minutes. Isn’t going to want to sign another 2-way contract. At 27 years-old maybe Williams would like to go somewhere he can play a full year of NHL hockey.

Analysis – Played 75 games for the Wolf Pack/Whale, and appears to be a player the organization needs. The Rangers have had difficulty scoring goals, especially on the power play. Williams scored 15 power play goals last season for the Wolf Pack/Whale. Williams was the Wolf Pack/Whale’s leading goal scorer with 32, and second in scoring with 55 points. Essentially, the Rangers need to decide if they think Williams can replicate his AHL scoring in Manhattan.

Speculation – Rangers offer two-way contract for 1-2 years, entry level at maybe as much as $600K/NHL and $250K/AHL. Williams and his agent balk. Williams moves on as an unrestricted free agent. Hopefully he won’t sign with the Islanders as P.A. Parenteau did last season when the Rangers wouldn’t pony up the cash/ice time to keep him.


Chad Kolarik, Center/Wing

Reasons to stay – Got 4 games and 1 assist during the Rangers’ mid-season injury attrition. At 25 can afford to sign a two-way deal for one or two more seasons. The Connecticut Whale is about to be reinforced with a number of very young talented forwards that may precipitate a deeper Calder Cup run.

Reasons to leave – Not getting any younger and has a total of only 6 NHL games in pro experience. That’s gotta be getting stale after toiling on the farm for 4 years. The Connecticut Whale is about to be reinforced with a number of very young talented forwards. Made $62,500 playing mostly minor league hockey last season. Probably wants to make more.

Analysis – Kolarik finished 6th in scoring for the Wolf Pack/Whale during the 2010-11 season. Kolarik scored 21 goals (including 6 on the power play), for second in the team behind Wolf Pack/Whale goals leader Jeremy Williams.

Speculation – Kolarik’s situation is very similar to that of Jeremy Williams with the only difference is that Kolarik is a bit younger. Kolarik is a proven AHL level player, but will that translate to NHL success. I believe that the Rangers will offer a two-way contract. If that contract is a one year deal that respects his contributions thus far (i.e. an AHL salary of more than $62,000/season) perhaps Kolarik will sign it. I believe that Kolarik will test unrestricted free agency, and that one of the 29 NHL teams will offer him a better situation than the New York Rangers. Too close to call, Kolarik probably walks. Hopefully he doesn’t sign with the Islanders, Devils, Penguins, or Flyers.


Tomorrow's segment will feature unrestricted free agents Bryan McCabe & Steve Eminger

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?

Today we look at New York Rangers' unrestricted free agents Ruslan Fedotenko and Todd White.

Ruslan Fedotenko, Wing
Reasons to stay – Seems to enjoy playing for Torts, meets Torts’ demands of skillful and physical

Reasons to leave – May get a free agent offer too sweet to turn down as his last contract was for $1M/year. Young talent nipping at his heels in the form of two year AHL vet Evgeny Grachev, along with pro hockey noobs Christian Thomas, and Carl Hagelin.

Analysis – The Rangers are a team that desperately needs the production and defensive steadiness of a player like Fedotenko. Fedotenko is a veteran winger. The Ukranian forward has 10 years of NHL hockey under his belt. In seasons where he plays at least 60 games (the fewest he’s ever played in a NHL season is 65) he can be counted on for at least 10 goals and 25 points. The Rangers also need his flexibility as Fedotenko can play both right and left wing. The flip side of the coin is that the Rangers may be getting ready to integrate young forwards into the team. If Fedotenko re-signs on a one way contract, he could become cover if any of the aforementioned young left wingers rise to prominence.

Speculation – Too close to call. Whether or not Fedotenko re-signs with New York depends on too many x-factors. If he should re-sign, the 32 year-old Fedotenko could find himself riding the pine, existing as a living reminder that the club has experienced options if forwards get lazy. If the Rangers’ future stars aren’t ready for the penetratingly bright lights of Manhattan, Fedotenko will be sorely needed to both score goals and help the defense keep its shape and composure. On the strength of his professional relationship with Tortorella, and the current needs of the Rangers for flexible veteran forwards, Fedotenko probably re-signs on a one year/one way deal plus incentive bonuses.


Todd White, Center/Wing
Reasons to stay – Few that I can think of as he was demoted to the Connecticut Whale, passing through waivers to do so (this means that no one else in the league wanted to take on his contract).

Reasons to leave – Doesn’t seem to fit into the Sather/Torterella vision of the Rangers’ future as he is not an intimidating figure, outstanding in ability, or young (White turned 36 this May). The Rangers have signed a number of forwards that will compete for places with the Rangers and their AHL affiliate.

Analysis – Played 18 games for the Rangers with little result. Had 5 points in 9 games for Hartford/Connecticut in the AHL.


Speculation – White is an older player, didn’t get a ton of games, his contract has expired, and he passed through waivers without any sniffs upon his demotion to the AHL. White will test free agency and examine whether or not he wants to continue as a professional hockey player. White is nearing the end of his career - may retire or accept sweet free agent dollars to provide depth for a rebuilding team. White is clearly being phased out, with the Rangers recouping the $2.375M in cap space. Don’t expect him back.

Tomorrow's segment will feature unrestricted free agents Jeremy Williams and Chad Kolarik.

Monday, May 30, 2011

New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?

This is the first in a series discussing the New York Rangers' players who are currently unrestricted or restricted free agents. Today we begin with unrestricted free agent forwards Alexander Frolov and Vaclav Prospal.

Alexander Frolov, Left Wing

Reasons to stay – New York is a major media market. The Rangers are in the process of building a team that will contend for years. Failed to boost his salary/trade value and needs a complete and successful season to do so.

Reasons to leave – Trying to stay out of Torts’ doghouse gets stale quickly. Frolov admittedly signed with New York to boost his salary/trade value so perhaps has little attachment to club or city.

Analysis – Frolov isn’t a bad player, but at his current salary of $3M/year the Rangers expect much more than 43 games and 16 points. With his production dwindling (points since ‘06-’07: 71, 67, 59, 51, and then 16 in his injury shortened stint in Manhattan) the 29 year-old Frolov would have to accept a drastic salary cut to stay.

Speculation – As his agent will expect more money, and the Rangers won’t want to give it, expect Frolov to hit the bricks and test unrestricted free agency. If he and his agent can’t find the deal they are looking for in the NHL, expect Frolov to head for Russia in search of big KHL rubles.

Vaclav “Vinny” Prospal, Left Wing/Center

Reasons to stay – Prospal has enjoyed success with the Rangers. He seems to enjoy playing for Torts. Though the Rangers are attempting to build something long lasting for the future.

Reasons to leave – Prospal has offered his services to the Rangers at a steep discount for two years now as he nears the end of his career – money talks.

Analysis – When healthy (60 games or better), Prospal is a reliable 40-80 point player. Prospal has played well, producing better numbers in less games than teammates that make far much more money than he does. Prospal can play center as well as wing, and allows the Rangers great flexibility, which the Rangers need, as Tortorella loves to bench players to make his point.

Speculation – Rangers will again offer Prospal a short term contract but with lucrative incentives. As Prospal isn’t getting any younger, he will likely re-sign with the Rangers.

Tune in for tomorrow where we will look at the situations of Ruslan Fedotenko and Todd White.

Friday, May 20, 2011

FIFA and/or EA Sports must really hate the United States









So I was at home, hangin’ out playing FIFA World Cup 2010 South Africa for XBox 360. You might ask “Why?”. I would answer that my FIFA 2011 game disc is useless now because of small fractures that occur when placing the game disc on its spindle in the case, and when taking the game disc off of said spindle. It’s the second time that I have had a disc damaged this way. At $60 a go, and no way to really contact anyone at the company it’s a bit irritating. But I digress. We’re here to talk about FIFA World Cup 2010 South Africa. Good news! I won the World Cup with America....wOOt! Won fair and square Portugal 0:2 United States...it was awesome. So I wanted to see if I had won the Golden Boot for Jozy Altidore. Apparently not. Apparently he had only scored the two goals in the final, and that’s all. I knew that couldn’t be true, so I checked the team stats for United States. It turns out that the game records indicated that NO ONE Had scored a goal other than Jozy scoring his two in the Final. This is impossible. Also for what is probably the first time in the history of the World Cup (video game or real-life) no one from the championship side was selected to the All-Tournament team or won either the Gold Ball, Silver Ball, or Bronze Ball. Weird eh? Skeptical?...I thought you’d be, so I made some photographs of the screens to prove it. FIFA and/or EA Sports...shame on you. Do you really feel the need to blot out American achievements even in a video game? We yanks have been unable to win the actual World Cup Finals...could you at least let us dream of doing it?

p.s. - It’s hurtful when the game news text in FIFA World Cup 2010 South Africa keeps saying that every team in the world should beat the USA...You would like to think America's recent positive results against Argentina, Spain, & England would entitle the USA to a little bit of football respect...apparently not.