The final segment features restricted free agents Matt McCue & Pavel Valentenko.
Matt McCue, Defense/Left Wing
Reasons to stay – A contract offer of any kind from the Rangers means they’re still interested in McCue.
Reasons to leave – None.
Analysis – Played in 43 games for the Dayton Gems of the CHL. Did not get any matches at the ECHL or AHL level.
Speculation – McCue seems to have fallen off of the club’s radar. With so many young forwards heading up to Connecticut for this fall, you have to wonder where a player like McCue will fit in. I anticipate that no contract will be offered to McCue for the purpose of releasing him from the club.
Pavel Valentenko, Defense
Reasons to stay – Is getting close, so close, to breaking into the Rangers’ 7 defense spots.
Reasons to leave – Maybe doesn’t want to sign a two-way NHL contract at 27 years old. Absence of a substantial AHL raise on a two-way contract offer. Probably has a place to go play in the KHL for a better wage than the $62.5K U.S. he was making at Connecticut.
Analysis – After two seasons of part time duty at Dynamo Moscow, Valentenko put together a very sharp year at the Wolf Pack/Whale. Played 79 matches scoring 17 points and was +21. Played all 6 Calder Cup matches for the Whale. Valentenko can expect to press for a place amongst the current log jam of qualified defensemen this fall at the Rangers’ training camp. Valentenko has not once played for the New York Rangers.
Speculation – The Rangers would be foolish to not retain the services of Valentenko, 23, who is putting in the yeoman’s work to earn a place with the New York Rangers. Rangers offer Valentenko a two-way deal with significant AHL pay bump. If Valentenko and his agent balk at the Rangers’ offer, Sather might try to deal the rights to Valentenko at the draft in an attempt to gain an early round pick.
This ends this summer's edition of Should I Stay or Should I Go? Stay tuned, watch this space.
Monday, June 13, 2011
Sunday, June 12, 2011
New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?
This feature examines the free agent scenario of New Y0rk Rangers players that are currently out of contract. Today's segment examines the situations of John Mitchell & Tysen Dowzak.
John Mitchell, Center/Wing
Reasons to stay – Thinks the Rangers are on their way to a brighter future and wants to be a part of it.
Reasons to leave – Mitchell, 26, probably doesn’t want to sign a two-way contract at this stage in his career.
Analysis – Although Mitchell has 159 NHL matches under his belt, he finished the year with the Connecticut Whale in the AHL where he scored 12 points in 14 games. He did not once play for the Rangers last season. Mitchell is a lower line forward. The Rangers have a ton of depth with this type of player, but not so many with the amount of NHL match experience that Mitchell has. The Rangers picked up Mitchell from Toronto late in February for a 7th round 2012 draft pick. Mitchell was a playoff ace for the Whale playing all 6 Calder Cup games scoring 6 points along the way. His NHL point production curve has plummeted over his three NHL seasons.
Speculation – All depends on whether the Rangers believe that Mitchell is in their future plans and/or which other free agent forwards leave the club. He will likely have to sign a two-way contract to stay in New York if all the other forwards stay. At the age of 26 I doubt Mitchell has any intention of signing a two-way deal. Club and player may choose to part ways.
Tysen Dowzak, Defense
Reasons to stay – If the Rangers offer Dowzak any sort of deal at all, he should sign quickly before the club changes its mind.
Reasons to leave – None. The Rangers are nurturing a long-term project with Dowzak. He needs the Rangers more than the Rangers need him.
Analysis – Dowzak, 23, played the entire 2010-11 season with the Dayton Gems of the CHL. He is a prospect that is falling off of the Rangers’ radar quickly. The Rangers have a ton of depth at defense.
Speculation – Rangers allow Dowzak to remain a restricted free agent as a means of releasing him from the organization.
Tomorrow's final segment of "Should I Stay or Should I Go?" features RFAs Matt McCue & Pavel Valentenko.
John Mitchell, Center/Wing
Reasons to stay – Thinks the Rangers are on their way to a brighter future and wants to be a part of it.
Reasons to leave – Mitchell, 26, probably doesn’t want to sign a two-way contract at this stage in his career.
Analysis – Although Mitchell has 159 NHL matches under his belt, he finished the year with the Connecticut Whale in the AHL where he scored 12 points in 14 games. He did not once play for the Rangers last season. Mitchell is a lower line forward. The Rangers have a ton of depth with this type of player, but not so many with the amount of NHL match experience that Mitchell has. The Rangers picked up Mitchell from Toronto late in February for a 7th round 2012 draft pick. Mitchell was a playoff ace for the Whale playing all 6 Calder Cup games scoring 6 points along the way. His NHL point production curve has plummeted over his three NHL seasons.
Speculation – All depends on whether the Rangers believe that Mitchell is in their future plans and/or which other free agent forwards leave the club. He will likely have to sign a two-way contract to stay in New York if all the other forwards stay. At the age of 26 I doubt Mitchell has any intention of signing a two-way deal. Club and player may choose to part ways.
Tysen Dowzak, Defense
Reasons to stay – If the Rangers offer Dowzak any sort of deal at all, he should sign quickly before the club changes its mind.
Reasons to leave – None. The Rangers are nurturing a long-term project with Dowzak. He needs the Rangers more than the Rangers need him.
Analysis – Dowzak, 23, played the entire 2010-11 season with the Dayton Gems of the CHL. He is a prospect that is falling off of the Rangers’ radar quickly. The Rangers have a ton of depth at defense.
Speculation – Rangers allow Dowzak to remain a restricted free agent as a means of releasing him from the organization.
Tomorrow's final segment of "Should I Stay or Should I Go?" features RFAs Matt McCue & Pavel Valentenko.
Saturday, June 11, 2011
New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?
This series examines the free agent scenarios of New York Rangers players who are currently out of contract. Today we examine restricted free agents Justin Soryal & Brodie Dupont.
Justin Soryal, Left Wing
Reasons to stay – If offered a contract, it would be sensible to re-sign, as Soryal’s numbers might not float him to a new pro hockey destination. As a restricted free agent, has very little bargaining power.
Reasons to leave – Considering retirement from hockey. Thinks he can get a better deal from another team.
Analysis – Soryal, 23, is currently a fringe player in the Rangers’ organization. He is a very hard character and handles part of the policing duties on the Wolf Pack/Whale. In his 3 AHL pro seasons, Soryal has been unable to match his best scoring numbers from his junior days at Peterboro. It seems the hope here, as it is with DiDomete, was that Soryal would not only bring his toughness from junior but also some of his offensive ability. In 3 seasons with the Wolf Pack/Whale (189 games) Soryal has managed a total of 11 goals, 14 assists for 25 points and 493 minutes in penalties. Soryal was a scratch in 5 of his club’s 6 Calder Cup Finals matches this year.
Speculation – If the Rangers believe that Soryal can develop enough to contribute more offensively and/or that he is a must have as an enforcer Soryal will be offered a contract. If the Rangers feel they have many redundancies in the enforcer department, Soryal may be allowed to remain a free agent as a means of releasing him from the club. Soryal gets offered either a one year contract, or isn’t offered a contract at all.
Brodie Dupont, Center/Left Wing
Reasons to stay – At 24, Dupont is a mainstay player for the Rangers’ AHL affiliate. His AHL salary at the end of his contract was $75K/year, this is a good real-world salary. Got his first game with the parent club during the Rangers’ winter injury difficulties. As restricted free agent he has little bargaining power.
Reasons to leave – Has toiled on the farm for 4 seasons and only has one NHL game to show for it. Thinks he can get a better deal from another club.
Analysis – Has played 297 games for the Wolf Pack/Whale posting numbers of 58 goals, 90 assists for 148 points with 389 minutes in penalties. With AHL goal totals in the range of 9-18 and points in the range of 22-45, Dupont has established himself as a gritty and consistent player who can make decent offensive contributions. Played in all 6 of the Whale's Calder Cup Finals matches. Seems to have the confidence of management going forward as he got his first NHL game this last season. Essentially the club likes Dupont’s work rate, scoring, and consistency.
Speculation – Dupont will likely be offered the same contract or one with a slight AHL raise. The deal must be two-way and will likely have no increase for the NHL salary level. I expect Dupont will be offered a deal for 2-3 years duration.
Tomorrow's segment will have a look at the free agent scenarios of RFAs John Mitchell & Tyson Dowzak.
Justin Soryal, Left Wing
Reasons to stay – If offered a contract, it would be sensible to re-sign, as Soryal’s numbers might not float him to a new pro hockey destination. As a restricted free agent, has very little bargaining power.
Reasons to leave – Considering retirement from hockey. Thinks he can get a better deal from another team.
Analysis – Soryal, 23, is currently a fringe player in the Rangers’ organization. He is a very hard character and handles part of the policing duties on the Wolf Pack/Whale. In his 3 AHL pro seasons, Soryal has been unable to match his best scoring numbers from his junior days at Peterboro. It seems the hope here, as it is with DiDomete, was that Soryal would not only bring his toughness from junior but also some of his offensive ability. In 3 seasons with the Wolf Pack/Whale (189 games) Soryal has managed a total of 11 goals, 14 assists for 25 points and 493 minutes in penalties. Soryal was a scratch in 5 of his club’s 6 Calder Cup Finals matches this year.
Speculation – If the Rangers believe that Soryal can develop enough to contribute more offensively and/or that he is a must have as an enforcer Soryal will be offered a contract. If the Rangers feel they have many redundancies in the enforcer department, Soryal may be allowed to remain a free agent as a means of releasing him from the club. Soryal gets offered either a one year contract, or isn’t offered a contract at all.
Brodie Dupont, Center/Left Wing
Reasons to stay – At 24, Dupont is a mainstay player for the Rangers’ AHL affiliate. His AHL salary at the end of his contract was $75K/year, this is a good real-world salary. Got his first game with the parent club during the Rangers’ winter injury difficulties. As restricted free agent he has little bargaining power.
Reasons to leave – Has toiled on the farm for 4 seasons and only has one NHL game to show for it. Thinks he can get a better deal from another club.
Analysis – Has played 297 games for the Wolf Pack/Whale posting numbers of 58 goals, 90 assists for 148 points with 389 minutes in penalties. With AHL goal totals in the range of 9-18 and points in the range of 22-45, Dupont has established himself as a gritty and consistent player who can make decent offensive contributions. Played in all 6 of the Whale's Calder Cup Finals matches. Seems to have the confidence of management going forward as he got his first NHL game this last season. Essentially the club likes Dupont’s work rate, scoring, and consistency.
Speculation – Dupont will likely be offered the same contract or one with a slight AHL raise. The deal must be two-way and will likely have no increase for the NHL salary level. I expect Dupont will be offered a deal for 2-3 years duration.
Tomorrow's segment will have a look at the free agent scenarios of RFAs John Mitchell & Tyson Dowzak.
Friday, June 10, 2011
New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?
This is a segment in a series examining the New York Rangers free agent scenarios. Today we examine the restricted free agents Dale Weise & Devin DiDiomete.
Dale Weise, Right Wing
Reasons to stay – At 22 years-old he still has time to hone his skills in the AHL and think things through. The Rangers seem to be keen on Weise, so it would benefit him to flow with the program.
Reasons to leave – Weise is a player who has scored a bunch at the AHL level, and has a fair amount of grit to his game. His AHL salary is $65K, and there might be other teams willing to offer more and nurture Weise’s development to his target role as NHL checking line player.
Analysis – Weise has played well in his three seasons for the Wolf Pack/Whale and earned enough confidence from management to be an injury replacement for 10 games with the parent club this season. Made no offensive contribution at pro level, with a penchant for taking knucklehead penalties, and needs more seasoning in the nutmeg state. An intimidating and uncompromising player, Weise will have a blue sweater waiting when his offensive numbers and discipline in the AHL translate to his game in the NHL.
Speculation – Weise signs a deal for what he currently makes or a bit more for a duration of probably 2 years.
Devin DiDiomete, Left Wing
Reasons to stay – Perhaps there is not so much league interest for this player. A second chance to work on the offensive part of his game.
Reasons to leave – Considering retirement from pro hockey. Thinks he can do better than the Rangers’ offer in free agency. I heard that DiDiomete got to help call some games with the Wolf Pack’s/Whale’s broadcasters and acquitted himself very well, perhaps Devin’s destiny lies in broacasting.
Analysis – The Rangers saw a rugged player with a two-way game when they drafted him out of the OHL’s Sarnia Sting where DiDiomete posted personal a personal best season in goals, assists, & points with 23-33 56 and 216 minutes in penalties. In his 3 year AHL career DiDiomete has only managed a total of 10 goals, 11 assists, and 661 penalty minutes in 170 matches with the Hartford Wolf Pack/Connecticut Whale. Both the Rangers and the Whale have players that can not only handle the policing duties, but can also score and set up goals.
Speculation – The Whale are about to get reinforced with some pretty good talent. I don’t foresee that there will be enough ice time to go around. Although DiDiomete has unquestionable prominence in the heart department, it probably won’t be enough this time around to earn a contract. The Rangers organization will likely let the young left wing explore restricted free agency as a way of releasing him from the club.
Tomorrow's segment will discuss the restricted free agents Justin Soryal & Brodie Dupont.
Dale Weise, Right Wing
Reasons to stay – At 22 years-old he still has time to hone his skills in the AHL and think things through. The Rangers seem to be keen on Weise, so it would benefit him to flow with the program.
Reasons to leave – Weise is a player who has scored a bunch at the AHL level, and has a fair amount of grit to his game. His AHL salary is $65K, and there might be other teams willing to offer more and nurture Weise’s development to his target role as NHL checking line player.
Analysis – Weise has played well in his three seasons for the Wolf Pack/Whale and earned enough confidence from management to be an injury replacement for 10 games with the parent club this season. Made no offensive contribution at pro level, with a penchant for taking knucklehead penalties, and needs more seasoning in the nutmeg state. An intimidating and uncompromising player, Weise will have a blue sweater waiting when his offensive numbers and discipline in the AHL translate to his game in the NHL.
Speculation – Weise signs a deal for what he currently makes or a bit more for a duration of probably 2 years.
Devin DiDiomete, Left Wing
Reasons to stay – Perhaps there is not so much league interest for this player. A second chance to work on the offensive part of his game.
Reasons to leave – Considering retirement from pro hockey. Thinks he can do better than the Rangers’ offer in free agency. I heard that DiDiomete got to help call some games with the Wolf Pack’s/Whale’s broadcasters and acquitted himself very well, perhaps Devin’s destiny lies in broacasting.
Analysis – The Rangers saw a rugged player with a two-way game when they drafted him out of the OHL’s Sarnia Sting where DiDiomete posted personal a personal best season in goals, assists, & points with 23-33 56 and 216 minutes in penalties. In his 3 year AHL career DiDiomete has only managed a total of 10 goals, 11 assists, and 661 penalty minutes in 170 matches with the Hartford Wolf Pack/Connecticut Whale. Both the Rangers and the Whale have players that can not only handle the policing duties, but can also score and set up goals.
Speculation – The Whale are about to get reinforced with some pretty good talent. I don’t foresee that there will be enough ice time to go around. Although DiDiomete has unquestionable prominence in the heart department, it probably won’t be enough this time around to earn a contract. The Rangers organization will likely let the young left wing explore restricted free agency as a way of releasing him from the club.
Tomorrow's segment will discuss the restricted free agents Justin Soryal & Brodie Dupont.
Thursday, June 9, 2011
New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?
Today's segment explores the predicaments of Ranger's restricted free agents Stu Bickel & Chad Johnson.
Stu Bickel, Defense
Reasons to stay – For now, has a regular place in the team with the Connecticut Whale in the AHL.
Reasons to leave – At 24 years of age, Bickel may be looking to take his rugged style of play to a club that needs a first team player. Would probably like an AHL salary better than $62,500. The Rangers have a several defensemen in the system and promotion to New York from the farm seems currently out of reach.
Analysis – This season was the first where Bickel played close to a full AHL season(60 games between Syracuse and Hartford/Connecticut). Performed reasonably well, but nothing outstanding. Bickel is super rugged - a very hard player.
Speculation – The Rangers would be smart to retain Bickel, but he’s going to want an AHL raise. The contract will have to be two-way, but the AHL salary is going to have to go up if the club is serious about him. Bickel will probably sign a 1-2 year deal for in the range of NHL $875K/AHL $70-85K. The leverage is in the hands of the club, so probably not a big raise. Redden, Parlett, Niemi, Valentenko, Nightingale, Kundratek, maybe Del Zotto, and McIlrath will all be needing minutes, who will have a chair to sit down in when the music stops?
Chad Johnson, Goaltender
Reasons to stay – Johnson carries the bulk of the load in minutes played for the Connecticut Whale. Johnson may be able to position himself as the Rangers’ new backup. As restricted free agent, he may not have a lot of options to move.
Reasons to leave – At 24 years old, he has to be wondering if he’s going to become an NHL player or a career AHL player.
Analysis – Though he has 87 games and 40 wins under his belt for the Wolf Pack/Whale, he has only appeared 6 times for the parent club – acquitting himself quite well when called upon with 1 win, 2 losses, with an overtime result, a .911 save percentage and a 2.59 goals against average. Was at entry level AHL salary of $62,500 at the end of his contract. Clearly Johnson is good at stopping pucks.
Speculation – Johnson is only behind Rangers’ backup Martin Biron on the organizations depth chart. Although the Rangers’ number one goalie Henrik Lundqvist is on a long term contract, Martin Biron’s expires after the 2010-11 season. If the Rangers are unable to or unwilling to re-sign Biron, Johnson may get his chance to join the Rangers’ squad. Rangers will offer a reasonable if unspectacular two-way deal and in all likelihood Johnson will sign.
In tomorrow's segment we examine Rangers' restricted free agents Dale Weise & Devin DiDiomete.
UPDATE - The New York Daily News has reported that the New York Rangers intend to buy out the contract of center and captain Chris Drury.
Stu Bickel, Defense
Reasons to stay – For now, has a regular place in the team with the Connecticut Whale in the AHL.
Reasons to leave – At 24 years of age, Bickel may be looking to take his rugged style of play to a club that needs a first team player. Would probably like an AHL salary better than $62,500. The Rangers have a several defensemen in the system and promotion to New York from the farm seems currently out of reach.
Analysis – This season was the first where Bickel played close to a full AHL season(60 games between Syracuse and Hartford/Connecticut). Performed reasonably well, but nothing outstanding. Bickel is super rugged - a very hard player.
Speculation – The Rangers would be smart to retain Bickel, but he’s going to want an AHL raise. The contract will have to be two-way, but the AHL salary is going to have to go up if the club is serious about him. Bickel will probably sign a 1-2 year deal for in the range of NHL $875K/AHL $70-85K. The leverage is in the hands of the club, so probably not a big raise. Redden, Parlett, Niemi, Valentenko, Nightingale, Kundratek, maybe Del Zotto, and McIlrath will all be needing minutes, who will have a chair to sit down in when the music stops?
Chad Johnson, Goaltender
Reasons to stay – Johnson carries the bulk of the load in minutes played for the Connecticut Whale. Johnson may be able to position himself as the Rangers’ new backup. As restricted free agent, he may not have a lot of options to move.
Reasons to leave – At 24 years old, he has to be wondering if he’s going to become an NHL player or a career AHL player.
Analysis – Though he has 87 games and 40 wins under his belt for the Wolf Pack/Whale, he has only appeared 6 times for the parent club – acquitting himself quite well when called upon with 1 win, 2 losses, with an overtime result, a .911 save percentage and a 2.59 goals against average. Was at entry level AHL salary of $62,500 at the end of his contract. Clearly Johnson is good at stopping pucks.
Speculation – Johnson is only behind Rangers’ backup Martin Biron on the organizations depth chart. Although the Rangers’ number one goalie Henrik Lundqvist is on a long term contract, Martin Biron’s expires after the 2010-11 season. If the Rangers are unable to or unwilling to re-sign Biron, Johnson may get his chance to join the Rangers’ squad. Rangers will offer a reasonable if unspectacular two-way deal and in all likelihood Johnson will sign.
In tomorrow's segment we examine Rangers' restricted free agents Dale Weise & Devin DiDiomete.
* * *
UPDATE - The New York Daily News has reported that the New York Rangers intend to buy out the contract of center and captain Chris Drury.
Tuesday, June 7, 2011
New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?
Today we look at restricted free agents Artem Anisimov & Brian Boyle.
Artem Anisimov, Center
Reasons to stay – Has the confidence of both coach and GM illustrated by his regular place in the team. He is enjoying his best season yet in a blue sweater with season-highs in goals, assists, and points. He seems to be marked as a key part of the club’s revival.
Reasons to leave – The free agent market will not let the Rangers keep Anisimov’s salary point at $822K.
Analysis – Has played all 82 games in his first two full NHL seasons. Steadily improving in both scoring and defending. A good solid player. Decent on face-offs.
Speculation – How much of a raise is Glen Sather prepared to offer Anisimov? A competing club may be willing to offer
Anisimov more free agent money than the Rangers care to or can afford to match. Anisimov will be re-signed unless another club overpays for him. A likely contract scenario sees Anisimov signing a one-way deal for 2-3 years somewhere around the $1.2M-2M mark.
Brian Boyle, Center/Wing
Reasons to stay – Boyle is enjoying the best professional season of his NHL career with highs in goals, assists, and points. He has finally earned the confidence of management with a regular place in the team. Of all the forward lines for the Rangers this year, Boyle’s has seen the least tinkering from Torts the tinkerer. Is a restricted free agent which narrows his options.
Reasons to leave – His season numbers indicate that a raise is in order. The Rangers may not be able to retain him for the $525K that he currently earns.
Analysis – A 500% improvement on his production stats from last season tells me Boyle is playing for a bit of job security and a raise. Played all 82 games. Worked hard previous summer on improving his skating. Scored NHL highs of 21 goals, 14 assists, and 35 points.
Speculation – Has worked hard enough on his game to earn a raise, but a raise of how much? The Rangers will probably re-sign Boyle to a one-way contract in the range of somewhere between $800K-1M. The contract length will likely be a 1-2 years, as the Rangers will want to wait and see if Boyle’s dramatic improvement becomes consistency before attempting to retain him for bigger money and longer term.
Tomorrow's segment will feature restricted free agents Stu Bickel & Chad Johnson.
Artem Anisimov, Center
Reasons to stay – Has the confidence of both coach and GM illustrated by his regular place in the team. He is enjoying his best season yet in a blue sweater with season-highs in goals, assists, and points. He seems to be marked as a key part of the club’s revival.
Reasons to leave – The free agent market will not let the Rangers keep Anisimov’s salary point at $822K.
Analysis – Has played all 82 games in his first two full NHL seasons. Steadily improving in both scoring and defending. A good solid player. Decent on face-offs.
Speculation – How much of a raise is Glen Sather prepared to offer Anisimov? A competing club may be willing to offer
Anisimov more free agent money than the Rangers care to or can afford to match. Anisimov will be re-signed unless another club overpays for him. A likely contract scenario sees Anisimov signing a one-way deal for 2-3 years somewhere around the $1.2M-2M mark.
Brian Boyle, Center/Wing
Reasons to stay – Boyle is enjoying the best professional season of his NHL career with highs in goals, assists, and points. He has finally earned the confidence of management with a regular place in the team. Of all the forward lines for the Rangers this year, Boyle’s has seen the least tinkering from Torts the tinkerer. Is a restricted free agent which narrows his options.
Reasons to leave – His season numbers indicate that a raise is in order. The Rangers may not be able to retain him for the $525K that he currently earns.
Analysis – A 500% improvement on his production stats from last season tells me Boyle is playing for a bit of job security and a raise. Played all 82 games. Worked hard previous summer on improving his skating. Scored NHL highs of 21 goals, 14 assists, and 35 points.
Speculation – Has worked hard enough on his game to earn a raise, but a raise of how much? The Rangers will probably re-sign Boyle to a one-way contract in the range of somewhere between $800K-1M. The contract length will likely be a 1-2 years, as the Rangers will want to wait and see if Boyle’s dramatic improvement becomes consistency before attempting to retain him for bigger money and longer term.
Tomorrow's segment will feature restricted free agents Stu Bickel & Chad Johnson.
Monday, June 6, 2011
New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?
A continuing series examining the situations of New York Rangers free agents. Today we continue looking at the Rangers' restricted free agents Matt Gilroy & Michael Sauer.
Matt Gilroy, Defense
Reasons to stay – Finally seems to have earned Torts’ confidence and the 26 year-old seems to have a regular place in the team.
Reasons to leave – Rangers offer a salary cut that is too steep. Rangers demand he sign a two-way deal.
Analysis – Gilroy got 58 games (more than McDonagh and Del Zotto) with the big club this last season and this shows some confidence in his abilities. Brian McCabe was traded for and this shows that the club isn’t sure about Gilroy’s viability over the long term. Gilroy is a plus-player, very coachable, skates like the wind, and has a good shot. Two solid years with the big club stand him in good stead in his contract negotiations.
Speculation – The Rangers like Gilroy, but do they like him over the long term at $2.1M/year? Rangers re-sign Gilroy in the range of $2.1-2.5M/year. If Gilroy lacks confidence in the club it will be a one or two years deal. If Gilroy is confident of his place in the “young core” perhaps he will sign a 4-5 year deal. The organization does not truly have a prospect in waiting (or a line on a free agent defenseman in waiting) that can replace his experience and this will be an advantage in Gilroy’s contract talks.
Michael Sauer, Defense
Reasons to stay – Has finally earned a regular place in the team after years of toiling on the farm. The Rangers need his grit and willingness to stand up for teammates.
Reasons to leave – It took the Rangers a combination of a long time, and a fair amount of desperation to give Sauer a proper chance at the NHL level. Lowball contract offer. Rangers demand Sauer sign a two-way deal.
Analysis – This guy just keeps getting better, and his numbers support that. 76 games with the big club with no demotions. Sauer brings his brand of rugged and steady play to the rink each day. Led the Rangers in plus/minus with +20.
Speculation – How much of a raise are the Rangers prepared to award Sauer? I’m going to guess that less than $1.5M isn’t going to cut it (As he was making $62.5K/year for the better part of 3 years), and that suitors will be lining up for his services. If the Rangers are willing to reward Sauer for being a faithful servant of the club Sauer will re-sign. If the contract offer doesn’t reflect the significant impact he has had in the team, Sauer may elect to hold out. Sauer will likely re-sign for 2-3 years on a one-way contract of between $800K-1.2M. If better money is offered, the Rangers may be able to lock up Sauer in a 4-6 year deal. If the Rangers are only offering a two-way deal, the AHL salary had better be more than $75,000/year.
Tomorrow's segment features restricted free agents Artem Anisimov & Brian Boyle.
Matt Gilroy, Defense
Reasons to stay – Finally seems to have earned Torts’ confidence and the 26 year-old seems to have a regular place in the team.
Reasons to leave – Rangers offer a salary cut that is too steep. Rangers demand he sign a two-way deal.
Analysis – Gilroy got 58 games (more than McDonagh and Del Zotto) with the big club this last season and this shows some confidence in his abilities. Brian McCabe was traded for and this shows that the club isn’t sure about Gilroy’s viability over the long term. Gilroy is a plus-player, very coachable, skates like the wind, and has a good shot. Two solid years with the big club stand him in good stead in his contract negotiations.
Speculation – The Rangers like Gilroy, but do they like him over the long term at $2.1M/year? Rangers re-sign Gilroy in the range of $2.1-2.5M/year. If Gilroy lacks confidence in the club it will be a one or two years deal. If Gilroy is confident of his place in the “young core” perhaps he will sign a 4-5 year deal. The organization does not truly have a prospect in waiting (or a line on a free agent defenseman in waiting) that can replace his experience and this will be an advantage in Gilroy’s contract talks.
Michael Sauer, Defense
Reasons to stay – Has finally earned a regular place in the team after years of toiling on the farm. The Rangers need his grit and willingness to stand up for teammates.
Reasons to leave – It took the Rangers a combination of a long time, and a fair amount of desperation to give Sauer a proper chance at the NHL level. Lowball contract offer. Rangers demand Sauer sign a two-way deal.
Analysis – This guy just keeps getting better, and his numbers support that. 76 games with the big club with no demotions. Sauer brings his brand of rugged and steady play to the rink each day. Led the Rangers in plus/minus with +20.
Speculation – How much of a raise are the Rangers prepared to award Sauer? I’m going to guess that less than $1.5M isn’t going to cut it (As he was making $62.5K/year for the better part of 3 years), and that suitors will be lining up for his services. If the Rangers are willing to reward Sauer for being a faithful servant of the club Sauer will re-sign. If the contract offer doesn’t reflect the significant impact he has had in the team, Sauer may elect to hold out. Sauer will likely re-sign for 2-3 years on a one-way contract of between $800K-1.2M. If better money is offered, the Rangers may be able to lock up Sauer in a 4-6 year deal. If the Rangers are only offering a two-way deal, the AHL salary had better be more than $75,000/year.
Tomorrow's segment features restricted free agents Artem Anisimov & Brian Boyle.
Friday, June 3, 2011
New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?
Today's segment is the first segment in a series examining the New York Rangers' restricted free agents. The first two RFAs we will look at are Brandon Dubinsky & Ryan Callahan.
Ryan Callahan, Right Wing
Reasons to Stay – Attachment to club and city that seem to love his combination of grit, speed, and skill. A chance to be a part of something amazing, if the Ranger management can ever properly fine tune the mix. Fans expect he will be named captain when (current captain) Chris Drury’s contract expires after the 2011-12 season.
Reasons to leave – A lowball contract offer from Sather. Does Callahan feel he is laboring in a vacuum, with not a Stanley Cup sniff in sight? A number of teams would give their eye teeth to sign Callahan to their roster.
Analysis – Callahan is a model of consistency on and off the ice. He seems to have the confidence of Sather, Torts, fans, and supporters. He is currently an alternate captain with the team. Callahan gives everything every shift, he plays in all situations skates, defends, scores, passes, hits early and often, and blocks shots - often to his own physical detriment as both his hand and his ankle were broken this year blocking shots. Callahan has demonstrated again and again that he is a vital part of what the Rangers are trying to build. Sather must re-sign this player at any reasonable cost.
Speculation – Callahan will sign a long term one-way deal of 4 to 6 years at a salary point in excess of $4M a year, a significant raise from his previous salary of $2.3M/year. The Rangers have the cap room to accommodate this, and they would be foolish to alienate him. A holdout situation would be a PR disaster for the club, and for Sather.
Brandon Dubinsky, Wing/Center
Reasons to Stay – Like Callahan, Dubinsky is enjoying robust success with the club and seems to have the confidence of both coach and GM, Seems attached to club, city, fans. He survived a holdout against the club over salary by responding with a good year.
Reasons to leave – A lowball contract offer from the club.
Analysis – The amount the Rangers are willing to spend on Dubinsky will likely determine whether or not he remains in a blue sweater. Dubinsky makes vital contributions to the Rangers by: defending, scoring goals, setting up goals, hitting, the odd scrap with unruly interlopers, power play, penalty killing. The Rangers simply can’t afford to let Dubinsky leave.
Speculation – Dubinsky re-signs with the club on a deal similar to the one that will retain the services of Ryan Callahan. A holdout situation is unthinkable from the standpoint of either club or player…Dubinsky will show his resolve by holding out if the negotiations are not carried out in good faith.
Tomorrow's segment will feature restricted free agents Matt Gilroy & Michael Sauer.
New York Rangers - Trade Update: The Rangers have acquired defenseman Tim Erixon and a 5th round 2011 draft pick, in return for center Roman Horak and both of the Rangers' 2nd round draft picks in the 2011 draft.
What Calgary Gets: Calgary gets a good prospect in Horak, and adds two high draft picks.
What New York Gets: Although Horak and the 2 second rounders would have been good to keep, Horak and the players that would have been selected in the second round have zero games of pro experience. Erixon has 140 pro matches under his belt with his Swedish club Skelleftea with the 5th round pick added to even things out a little bit.
Analysis: This trade favors New York in the short term, and Calgary in the long term.
Speculation: Adding another defenseman with pro experience means that the battle for the Rangers last starting defense spot has become even more intense. This deal will impact Matt Gilroy, Michael Del Zotto, Steve Eminger, Dylan McIlrath, Blake Parlett, and others throughout the organization's depth chart. This deal also provides cover at defense in the event that Steve Eminger leaves the club.
Ryan Callahan, Right Wing
Reasons to Stay – Attachment to club and city that seem to love his combination of grit, speed, and skill. A chance to be a part of something amazing, if the Ranger management can ever properly fine tune the mix. Fans expect he will be named captain when (current captain) Chris Drury’s contract expires after the 2011-12 season.
Reasons to leave – A lowball contract offer from Sather. Does Callahan feel he is laboring in a vacuum, with not a Stanley Cup sniff in sight? A number of teams would give their eye teeth to sign Callahan to their roster.
Analysis – Callahan is a model of consistency on and off the ice. He seems to have the confidence of Sather, Torts, fans, and supporters. He is currently an alternate captain with the team. Callahan gives everything every shift, he plays in all situations skates, defends, scores, passes, hits early and often, and blocks shots - often to his own physical detriment as both his hand and his ankle were broken this year blocking shots. Callahan has demonstrated again and again that he is a vital part of what the Rangers are trying to build. Sather must re-sign this player at any reasonable cost.
Speculation – Callahan will sign a long term one-way deal of 4 to 6 years at a salary point in excess of $4M a year, a significant raise from his previous salary of $2.3M/year. The Rangers have the cap room to accommodate this, and they would be foolish to alienate him. A holdout situation would be a PR disaster for the club, and for Sather.
Brandon Dubinsky, Wing/Center
Reasons to Stay – Like Callahan, Dubinsky is enjoying robust success with the club and seems to have the confidence of both coach and GM, Seems attached to club, city, fans. He survived a holdout against the club over salary by responding with a good year.
Reasons to leave – A lowball contract offer from the club.
Analysis – The amount the Rangers are willing to spend on Dubinsky will likely determine whether or not he remains in a blue sweater. Dubinsky makes vital contributions to the Rangers by: defending, scoring goals, setting up goals, hitting, the odd scrap with unruly interlopers, power play, penalty killing. The Rangers simply can’t afford to let Dubinsky leave.
Speculation – Dubinsky re-signs with the club on a deal similar to the one that will retain the services of Ryan Callahan. A holdout situation is unthinkable from the standpoint of either club or player…Dubinsky will show his resolve by holding out if the negotiations are not carried out in good faith.
Tomorrow's segment will feature restricted free agents Matt Gilroy & Michael Sauer.
* * *
New York Rangers - Trade Update: The Rangers have acquired defenseman Tim Erixon and a 5th round 2011 draft pick, in return for center Roman Horak and both of the Rangers' 2nd round draft picks in the 2011 draft.
What Calgary Gets: Calgary gets a good prospect in Horak, and adds two high draft picks.
What New York Gets: Although Horak and the 2 second rounders would have been good to keep, Horak and the players that would have been selected in the second round have zero games of pro experience. Erixon has 140 pro matches under his belt with his Swedish club Skelleftea with the 5th round pick added to even things out a little bit.
Analysis: This trade favors New York in the short term, and Calgary in the long term.
Speculation: Adding another defenseman with pro experience means that the battle for the Rangers last starting defense spot has become even more intense. This deal will impact Matt Gilroy, Michael Del Zotto, Steve Eminger, Dylan McIlrath, Blake Parlett, and others throughout the organization's depth chart. This deal also provides cover at defense in the event that Steve Eminger leaves the club.
Thursday, June 2, 2011
New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?
Today's segment examines two of the New York Rangers unrestricted free agents. In today's case we will examine Bryan McCabe & Steve Eminger.
Bryan McCabe, Defense
Reasons to stay – I can’t think of any, and McCabe’s forgettable late season addition didn’t exactly impress the Rangers’ fans.
Reasons to leave – Can test the market as an unrestricted free agent, and probably finds a place on someone’s blue line for maybe a bit more than the Rangers are willing to offer.
Analysis – The trade that sent young Tim Kennedy to Florida for McCabe was a rental gamble that McCabe would be a steadying veteran presence on the power play. This gamble failed.
Speculation – The Rangers let the 35 year-old (36 in June) defenseman and his $5.750M contract drop off of the salary cap. McCabe walks in search of greener pastures.
Steve Eminger, Defense
Reasons to stay – Torts likes Eminger’s physicality and has given him preference for ice time – perhaps over players who are more talented and skillful.
Reasons to leave – Eminger has perhaps grown tired of being the pawn in the power struggle between Tortorella and Del Zotto.
Analysis – Athough Eminger is a more consistent player than Del Zotto, it seemed over the course of last season that when one was playing, the other was a healthy scratch. Eminger brings consistency and physical play to the Rangers' blue line. Conversely, Eminger is nearly 30, and is not the passer, shooter, nor skater that Del Zotto is. Should Eminger re-sign with the club, he continue to compete directly with Gilroy and Del Zotto for a place in the starting six defensemen. If it’s Eminger’s goal to sign a one-way contract with the Rangers, he might have to acknowledge that he may be the seventh defenseman and ride the pine pony.
Speculation – The million dollar question, literally, is: Does Eminger love playing for Torts and the Rangers enough to risk riding the pine when his betters figure out how to appease Tortzilla? If the Rangers still feel they need Eminger as cover for Del Zotto, Gilroy, and McDonagh they must re-sign him. Then, it’s a matter of price. For Eminger’s skill level and age, the Rangers won’t be prepared to pay more than the $1.125M he was making on his previous contract. So if he likes playing in New York, he’ll accept a renewal of the previous contract or a slight pay cut. If Eminger is interested in a higher salary, he might be able to find it, but not in New York. This one is too close to call.
In tomorrow's segment I will begin examining the New York Rangers' restricted free agents. The first two RFAs up will be Ryan Callahan & Brandon Dubinsky.
Bryan McCabe, Defense
Reasons to stay – I can’t think of any, and McCabe’s forgettable late season addition didn’t exactly impress the Rangers’ fans.
Reasons to leave – Can test the market as an unrestricted free agent, and probably finds a place on someone’s blue line for maybe a bit more than the Rangers are willing to offer.
Analysis – The trade that sent young Tim Kennedy to Florida for McCabe was a rental gamble that McCabe would be a steadying veteran presence on the power play. This gamble failed.
Speculation – The Rangers let the 35 year-old (36 in June) defenseman and his $5.750M contract drop off of the salary cap. McCabe walks in search of greener pastures.
Steve Eminger, Defense
Reasons to stay – Torts likes Eminger’s physicality and has given him preference for ice time – perhaps over players who are more talented and skillful.
Reasons to leave – Eminger has perhaps grown tired of being the pawn in the power struggle between Tortorella and Del Zotto.
Analysis – Athough Eminger is a more consistent player than Del Zotto, it seemed over the course of last season that when one was playing, the other was a healthy scratch. Eminger brings consistency and physical play to the Rangers' blue line. Conversely, Eminger is nearly 30, and is not the passer, shooter, nor skater that Del Zotto is. Should Eminger re-sign with the club, he continue to compete directly with Gilroy and Del Zotto for a place in the starting six defensemen. If it’s Eminger’s goal to sign a one-way contract with the Rangers, he might have to acknowledge that he may be the seventh defenseman and ride the pine pony.
Speculation – The million dollar question, literally, is: Does Eminger love playing for Torts and the Rangers enough to risk riding the pine when his betters figure out how to appease Tortzilla? If the Rangers still feel they need Eminger as cover for Del Zotto, Gilroy, and McDonagh they must re-sign him. Then, it’s a matter of price. For Eminger’s skill level and age, the Rangers won’t be prepared to pay more than the $1.125M he was making on his previous contract. So if he likes playing in New York, he’ll accept a renewal of the previous contract or a slight pay cut. If Eminger is interested in a higher salary, he might be able to find it, but not in New York. This one is too close to call.
In tomorrow's segment I will begin examining the New York Rangers' restricted free agents. The first two RFAs up will be Ryan Callahan & Brandon Dubinsky.
Wednesday, June 1, 2011
New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?
Today we examine the situations of New York Rangers unrestricted free agents Jeremy Williams & Chad Kolarik.
Jeremy Williams, Right Wing
Reasons to stay – Has enjoyed success at AHL level with Connecticut Whale. He was making about $200K/season playing AHL hockey. As real-world salaries go, that’s not too bad.
Reasons to leave – When Rangers experienced severe injury attrition during the 2010-11 NHL campaign, they did not call upon Williams to step in and help carry the load in Manhattan – Perhaps management lacks confidence in Williams? Williams has only played one game for the parent club in which he played less than 5 minutes. Isn’t going to want to sign another 2-way contract. At 27 years-old maybe Williams would like to go somewhere he can play a full year of NHL hockey.
Analysis – Played 75 games for the Wolf Pack/Whale, and appears to be a player the organization needs. The Rangers have had difficulty scoring goals, especially on the power play. Williams scored 15 power play goals last season for the Wolf Pack/Whale. Williams was the Wolf Pack/Whale’s leading goal scorer with 32, and second in scoring with 55 points. Essentially, the Rangers need to decide if they think Williams can replicate his AHL scoring in Manhattan.
Speculation – Rangers offer two-way contract for 1-2 years, entry level at maybe as much as $600K/NHL and $250K/AHL. Williams and his agent balk. Williams moves on as an unrestricted free agent. Hopefully he won’t sign with the Islanders as P.A. Parenteau did last season when the Rangers wouldn’t pony up the cash/ice time to keep him.
Chad Kolarik, Center/Wing
Reasons to stay – Got 4 games and 1 assist during the Rangers’ mid-season injury attrition. At 25 can afford to sign a two-way deal for one or two more seasons. The Connecticut Whale is about to be reinforced with a number of very young talented forwards that may precipitate a deeper Calder Cup run.
Reasons to leave – Not getting any younger and has a total of only 6 NHL games in pro experience. That’s gotta be getting stale after toiling on the farm for 4 years. The Connecticut Whale is about to be reinforced with a number of very young talented forwards. Made $62,500 playing mostly minor league hockey last season. Probably wants to make more.
Analysis – Kolarik finished 6th in scoring for the Wolf Pack/Whale during the 2010-11 season. Kolarik scored 21 goals (including 6 on the power play), for second in the team behind Wolf Pack/Whale goals leader Jeremy Williams.
Speculation – Kolarik’s situation is very similar to that of Jeremy Williams with the only difference is that Kolarik is a bit younger. Kolarik is a proven AHL level player, but will that translate to NHL success. I believe that the Rangers will offer a two-way contract. If that contract is a one year deal that respects his contributions thus far (i.e. an AHL salary of more than $62,000/season) perhaps Kolarik will sign it. I believe that Kolarik will test unrestricted free agency, and that one of the 29 NHL teams will offer him a better situation than the New York Rangers. Too close to call, Kolarik probably walks. Hopefully he doesn’t sign with the Islanders, Devils, Penguins, or Flyers.
Tomorrow's segment will feature unrestricted free agents Bryan McCabe & Steve Eminger
Jeremy Williams, Right Wing
Reasons to stay – Has enjoyed success at AHL level with Connecticut Whale. He was making about $200K/season playing AHL hockey. As real-world salaries go, that’s not too bad.
Reasons to leave – When Rangers experienced severe injury attrition during the 2010-11 NHL campaign, they did not call upon Williams to step in and help carry the load in Manhattan – Perhaps management lacks confidence in Williams? Williams has only played one game for the parent club in which he played less than 5 minutes. Isn’t going to want to sign another 2-way contract. At 27 years-old maybe Williams would like to go somewhere he can play a full year of NHL hockey.
Analysis – Played 75 games for the Wolf Pack/Whale, and appears to be a player the organization needs. The Rangers have had difficulty scoring goals, especially on the power play. Williams scored 15 power play goals last season for the Wolf Pack/Whale. Williams was the Wolf Pack/Whale’s leading goal scorer with 32, and second in scoring with 55 points. Essentially, the Rangers need to decide if they think Williams can replicate his AHL scoring in Manhattan.
Speculation – Rangers offer two-way contract for 1-2 years, entry level at maybe as much as $600K/NHL and $250K/AHL. Williams and his agent balk. Williams moves on as an unrestricted free agent. Hopefully he won’t sign with the Islanders as P.A. Parenteau did last season when the Rangers wouldn’t pony up the cash/ice time to keep him.
Chad Kolarik, Center/Wing
Reasons to stay – Got 4 games and 1 assist during the Rangers’ mid-season injury attrition. At 25 can afford to sign a two-way deal for one or two more seasons. The Connecticut Whale is about to be reinforced with a number of very young talented forwards that may precipitate a deeper Calder Cup run.
Reasons to leave – Not getting any younger and has a total of only 6 NHL games in pro experience. That’s gotta be getting stale after toiling on the farm for 4 years. The Connecticut Whale is about to be reinforced with a number of very young talented forwards. Made $62,500 playing mostly minor league hockey last season. Probably wants to make more.
Analysis – Kolarik finished 6th in scoring for the Wolf Pack/Whale during the 2010-11 season. Kolarik scored 21 goals (including 6 on the power play), for second in the team behind Wolf Pack/Whale goals leader Jeremy Williams.
Speculation – Kolarik’s situation is very similar to that of Jeremy Williams with the only difference is that Kolarik is a bit younger. Kolarik is a proven AHL level player, but will that translate to NHL success. I believe that the Rangers will offer a two-way contract. If that contract is a one year deal that respects his contributions thus far (i.e. an AHL salary of more than $62,000/season) perhaps Kolarik will sign it. I believe that Kolarik will test unrestricted free agency, and that one of the 29 NHL teams will offer him a better situation than the New York Rangers. Too close to call, Kolarik probably walks. Hopefully he doesn’t sign with the Islanders, Devils, Penguins, or Flyers.
Tomorrow's segment will feature unrestricted free agents Bryan McCabe & Steve Eminger
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