Monday, June 6, 2011

New York Rangers: Should I Stay or Should I Go?

A continuing series examining the situations of New York Rangers free agents. Today we continue looking at the Rangers' restricted free agents Matt Gilroy & Michael Sauer.


Matt Gilroy, Defense

Reasons to stay – Finally seems to have earned Torts’ confidence and the 26 year-old seems to have a regular place in the team.

Reasons to leave – Rangers offer a salary cut that is too steep. Rangers demand he sign a two-way deal.

Analysis – Gilroy got 58 games (more than McDonagh and Del Zotto) with the big club this last season and this shows some confidence in his abilities. Brian McCabe was traded for and this shows that the club isn’t sure about Gilroy’s viability over the long term. Gilroy is a plus-player, very coachable, skates like the wind, and has a good shot. Two solid years with the big club stand him in good stead in his contract negotiations.

Speculation – The Rangers like Gilroy, but do they like him over the long term at $2.1M/year? Rangers re-sign Gilroy in the range of $2.1-2.5M/year. If Gilroy lacks confidence in the club it will be a one or two years deal. If Gilroy is confident of his place in the “young core” perhaps he will sign a 4-5 year deal. The organization does not truly have a prospect in waiting (or a line on a free agent defenseman in waiting) that can replace his experience and this will be an advantage in Gilroy’s contract talks.



Michael Sauer, Defense

Reasons to stay – Has finally earned a regular place in the team after years of toiling on the farm. The Rangers need his grit and willingness to stand up for teammates.

Reasons to leave – It took the Rangers a combination of a long time, and a fair amount of desperation to give Sauer a proper chance at the NHL level. Lowball contract offer. Rangers demand Sauer sign a two-way deal.

Analysis – This guy just keeps getting better, and his numbers support that. 76 games with the big club with no demotions. Sauer brings his brand of rugged and steady play to the rink each day. Led the Rangers in plus/minus with +20.

Speculation – How much of a raise are the Rangers prepared to award Sauer? I’m going to guess that less than $1.5M isn’t going to cut it (As he was making $62.5K/year for the better part of 3 years), and that suitors will be lining up for his services. If the Rangers are willing to reward Sauer for being a faithful servant of the club Sauer will re-sign. If the contract offer doesn’t reflect the significant impact he has had in the team, Sauer may elect to hold out. Sauer will likely re-sign for 2-3 years on a one-way contract of between $800K-1.2M. If better money is offered, the Rangers may be able to lock up Sauer in a 4-6 year deal. If the Rangers are only offering a two-way deal, the AHL salary had better be more than $75,000/year.


Tomorrow's segment features restricted free agents Artem Anisimov & Brian Boyle.

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